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NBA 2019 Discussion (Last Updated: 01/21)
1. Milwaukee Bucks: Last week: 2, Record: 33-12
Pace: 103.1 (6) OffRtg: 113.6 (4) DefRtg: 103.8 (1) NetRtg: +9.7 (1)
The Bucks have won 15 of the last 17 games that Giannis Antetokounmpo has played in, with the two losses - Dec. 22 at Miami and Jan. 5 vs.
Toronto - both having been the second game of a back-to-back. They've been the league's best team, statistically, by a wide margin.
But do they have more than one All-Star? Eric Bledsoe may be making a late push, having averaged 21.8 points (on 60 percent shooting),
with 20 assists and just one turnover, over their four-game winning streak. Given how good this team has been overall, the Bucks'
starting lineup has been somewhat underwhelming; Having outscored its opponents by just 3.2 points per 100 possessions, it ranks 15th
among 26 lineups that have played at least 200 minutes. The Bucks' six best two-man combinations (plus-13.6 points per 100 possessions
or better) all include one starter and one reserve and the team's best minutes have been early in the second quarter.
Week 15: vs. DAL, vs. CHA, @ OKC
2. Golden State Warriors: Last week: 4, Record: 32-14
Pace: 101.7 (10) OffRtg: 115.4 (1) DefRtg: 109.0 (14) NetRtg: +6.3 (2)
DeMarcus Cousins' Warriors debut was a success. He fouled out in just 15 minutes and forced a couple of ugly shots in L.A. on Friday, but
ran the floor well and really looked like the third "Splash Brother," connecting on three of his four 3-point attempts. The Warriors'
five-All-Star starting lineup was a plus-10 in its 7.4 minutes and recorded nine assists (with just one turnover) on its nine field goals.
Most important might be that the champs had, statistically, their best defensive game of the season, holding a top-10 offense to just 94
points on 104 possessions. Prior to that, they had their best offensive game of the season, scoring 142 points on just 98 possessions in
Denver (never letting the Nuggets catch up to the ball) to take over first place in the West. The Warriors have won seven straight (the
longest winning streaks in the league this season have been just eight games long), with Draymond Green registering 67 assists and just
10 turnovers over the seven games.
Week 15: @ LAL, @ WAS, @ BOS
3. Toronto Raptors: Last week: 1, Record: 35-13
Pace: 100.4 (17) OffRtg: 112.0 (6) DefRtg: 107.0 (9) NetRtg: +5.1 (6)
The Raptors' bench has been without Jonas Valanciunas for more than a month, but we may have reached the point where concern with the second
unit leads to a trade between now and Feb. 7. Their game in Boston on Wednesday was tied with less than three minutes left, but may have been
lost when the Raptors scored just six points in the first 8:34 of the second quarter. Only the Suns (minus-68), Bulls (minus-64) and Thunder
(minus-59) have been outscored by more points in the first three minutes of the second period than the Raptors (minus-47), who have generally
had both Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard off the floor in those minutes. Coach Nick Nurse will likely stagger the minutes of Lowry and Leonard in
the playoffs, but some better shooting off the bench (the Raptors' six main reserves have combined to shoot just 33.5 percent from 3-point
range) would allow for more lineup versatility.
Week 15: vs. SAC, @ IND, @ HOU, @ DAL
4.Denver Nuggets: Last week: 3, Record: 31-14
Pace: 97.9 (27) OffRtg: 113.1 (5) DefRtg: 107.9 (11) NetRtg: +5.2 (5)
With Nikola Jokic totaling 23 assists and just three turnovers, the Nuggets had a couple of huge offensive games on Thursday and Saturday.
But wins over the Bulls and Cavs do not signal a recovery from the beatdown that the Nuggets' defense took from the champs on Tuesday. That
loss knocked them out of first place in the West and the rest of the week knocked them out of the top 10 in defensive efficiency. They rank
29th in both opponent effective field goal percentage (55.1 percent, with their opponents having shot much better in the paint than they did
through Week 9) and opponent turnover rate (11.5 per 100 possessions) over the last five weeks. The defensive fall-off doesn't quite correspond
with when Gary Harris and Paul Millsap suffered injuries, but the Nuggets have still allowed just 101.5 points per 100 possessions in 531
minutes with Harris, Millsap and Jokic on the floor together and the trio has played just 41 total minutes since early December.
Week 15: @ UTA, vs. PHX, vs. PHI
5. San Antonio Spurs: Last week: 5, Record: 27-21
Pace: 98.8 (25) OffRtg: 111.9 (7) DefRtg: 109.6 (17) NetRtg: +2.2 (11)
Performance on the road could be what wins the last few playoff spots in the Western Conference, and the Spurs got a couple of big road wins
last week, coming back from 19 points down in Dallas and winning in Minnesota without DeMar DeRozan, in part because reserves Davis Bertans,
Marco Belinelli and Patty Mills combined for 18 threes in the two games. But the Spurs also lost at home to the Hornets and Clippers last week,
their two worst offensive performances at the AT&T Center this season, with DeRozan attempting just one free throw in the two games. The last
five games have been their worst offensive stretch (107 points scored per 100 possessions) in the last two months (and they've trailed all five
by double-digits), but after playing in Philadelphia on Wednesday, they'll play five straight games against bottom-10 defenses.
Week 15: @ PHI, @ NOP, vs. WAS
CBA 2019 Discussion (Last Updated: 01/21)
1. Tennessee Volunteers (16-1): Previous ranking: 2
This week: at Vanderbilt (Wednesday, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2), vs. West Virginia (Saturday, 4 p.m. ET on ESPN)
Three of the Vols' next four are away from home, but all three of those opponents are outside the top 90 in ESPN's Basketball Power Index.
They will likely be favored by double digits or thereabouts in each of their next seven games, until a Feb. 16 showdown at Kentucky.
Barring upsets, Tennessee could be No. 1 for a while.
2. Duke Blue Devils (16-2): Previous ranking: 3
This week: Beat Pittsburgh 79-64 on Tuesday, vs. Georgia Tech (Saturday, noon ET on ACC Network)
Tre Jones missed his second game in a row Tuesday, but Mike Krzyzewski took down Pittsburgh and his protege, Jeff Capel.
The Blue Devils' stars have taken up the playmaking mantle with Jones sidelined, as Zion Williamson dished out seven assists, while RJ
Barrett and Cam Reddish combined for another seven. Worth noting: Duke's bench didn't make a single shot Tuesday.
3. Virginia Cavaliers (17-1): Previous ranking: 4
This week: Beat Wake Forest 68-45 on Tuesday, at Notre Dame (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET on CBS)
Virginia bounced back from its first loss of the season with a vintage defensive effort. The Cavaliers held Wake Forest to 45 points
and under 31 percent from the field -- with the Demon Deacons scoring just 0.74 points per possession. After allowing more than 1 point
per possession in their previous two games, coach Tony Bennett will be much happier with that performance.
4. Michigan Wolverines (18-1) : Previous ranking: 3
This week: Beat Minnesota 59-57 on Tuesday, at Indiana (Friday, 6:30 p.m. ET on FS1)
Did it leave his hand? Was it still in his hand? The referees counted Charles Matthews' winning basket against Minnesota on Tuesday,
giving Michigan a bounce-back victory after its first loss of the season Saturday. The Wolverines head on the road for three of their
next four games and four of their next six. A combined 10 points on 4-for-13 shooting from Matthews and Jordan Poole might not get it
done next time.
5. Gonzaga Bulldogs (18-2): Previous ranking: 5
This week: at Santa Clara (Thursday, 11 p.m. ET)
Since the return of Killian Tillie and Geno Crandall from their respective injuries, it seems that coach Mark Few has settled on an eight-man
rotation -- although Jeremy Jones, who played double-figure minutes in all but one game this season, saw just two Saturday. Against Portland,
all five starters -- as well as Tillie and Crandall off the bench -- scored in double figures.
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Last week's rankings.
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